Schedule
All talks will be held in Monroe Hall, room 130.
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Saturday, October 22
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1:30pm
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Registration
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2:00pm
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Opening Remarks
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2:10-3:30pm
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Eugene Seneta
The Variance Gamma Process
[abstract]
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4:00-5:20pm
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Dilip Madan
Using Self-Decomposable Laws in the Construction of Local Levy Processes
[abstract]
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6:30pm
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Cash Bar Reception at Boar's Head Inn, Arbor Room
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7:00-9:00pm
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Conference Dinner at Boar's Head Inn, Arbor Room
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Sunday , October 23
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9:00-9:40am
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Peter Carr
Forward Equations for European, Barrier, and American Options in Markovian Models
[abstract]
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10:00-10:40am
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Andrey Itkin
Pricing Options with VG Model Using FFT
[abstract]
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11:00am-12:20pm
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Chris Heyde
Scaling of Returns: Some Challenges for the VG Model
[abstract]
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The following titles/abstracts have been submitted by the speakers:
Peter Carr
Forward Equations for European, Barrier, and American Options in Markovian Models
We develop boundary value problems involving partial integro
differential equations (PIDE's) for various kinds of
options in Markovian models. The independent variables in
the PIDE are strike price and maturity date. In each case,
we illustrate with the variance gamma model.
C. C. Heyde
Scaling of Returns: Some Challenges for the VG Model
Amongst the standard empirical properties of risky asset
returns are (1) an autocorrelation function for the returns
which dies away rapidly and is statistically insignificant
beyond a few lags and also (2) autocorrelation functions of
squares and absolute values of returns which die away very
slowly, persisting over years, or even decades. Together
these indicate that, assuming returns come from a
stationary process, they are not independent, but at most
short-range dependent, while various functions of the
returns are long-range dependent. These scaling properties
are well-known, although commonly ignored for modeling
convenience. However, much more can be inferred from the
scaling properties of the returns. It turns out that the
empirical scaling functions are initially linear and
ultimately concave, which is strongly suggestive of returns
distributions with infinite low order moments or
alternatively that multifractal behavior is a modeling
requirement. Modifications of the variance gamma model
cannot readily meet these requirements. The evidence will
be presented and its significance discussed, along with a
class of models which can incorporate these features.
Andrey Itkin
Pricing Options with VG Model Using FFT
We discuss various analytic and numerical methods that have
been used to get option prices within a framework of VG
model. We show that some popular methods, for instance,
Carr-Madan's FFT method could blow up for certain values of
the model parameters even for European vanilla option.
Alternative methods--one originally proposed by Lewis, and
Heston-wise method are considered that seem to work fine
for any value of the VG parameters. Test examples are given
to demonstrate efficiency of these methods. Convergency of
all methods is also discussed.
Dilip Madan
Using Self-Decomposable Laws in the Construction of Local Levy Processes
Four parameter Self-Decomopsable Laws are used on
scaling to synthesize the options surface. Though these
scaled laws are associated with the additive Sato process
we recreate them as local Levy processes with a space time
dependent Levy Speed function that generalizes the local
volatility model of Dupire. We show that problems with
vanishing forward volatilities and skews in local
volatility are effectively combated by the local Levy
process.
paper #1
paper #2
Eugene Seneta
The Variance Gamma Process
The symmetric VG model for independent log increments (returns). Allowing for skewness of distribution, strict stationarity and long-range dependence of returns, resulting from market activity time. Volatility. The (skewed) VG and t-distributions for returns, as special cases arising from the GIG distribution for increments of market activity time. Estimation and goodness of fit in these cases. A comparison of the (symmetric) VG and scaled t-distributions.
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